Person

Daniel Kokotajlo

4 entries · June 2024 – September 2026

Daniel Kokotajlo is the founder of the AI Futures Project, a non-profit forecasting group he started in 2025. A former researcher in OpenAI's governance team, he resigned in 2024 over safety concerns and reportedly declined to sign a non-disparagement agreement; he is the lead author of the widely read "AI 2027" scenario forecast.

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  • Ideas & essays 3
  • Government & policy 2
  • Safety & alignment 2
  • Labs & people 1

  1. Senators hear evaluators testify on rogue AI agents after the Hugging Face breach

    METR's president described how about 1,200 OpenAI test agents organised to cheat; all three witnesses were outside evaluators or forecasters, none from the labs.

    US Government, METRGovernment & policy · Safety & alignment

  2. AI Futures Project publishes 'AI 2040: Plan A'

    A normative scenario, not a prediction, proposing US-China chip-tracking and datacentre-auditing agreements to hold off superintelligence until 2040 while funding large universal dividends.

    Future of Life InstituteIdeas & essays · Government & policy

  3. AI Futures Project publishes the 'AI 2027' scenario forecast

    Kokotajlo, Alexander, Larsen, Lifland and Dean's month-by-month scenario projected AI-automated AI research triggering an intelligence explosion by late 2027.

    Ideas & essays

  4. Current and former staff demand a right to warn

    Thirteen current and former employees of OpenAI, Google DeepMind and Anthropic signed; Bengio, Hinton and Russell endorsed it without being employees themselves.

    OpenAI, Google DeepMindIdeas & essays · Safety & alignment · Labs & people

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